One-glance verdict
$175.30 our estimate vs market $252.85
Wall Street consensus: $256.00 (46.0% higher than our fair-value estimate)
44% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
ROST · NMS · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Current price
$252.85
52-week range
$137.58 - $257.00
Market cap
$81.11B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $256.00 (46.0% higher than our fair-value estimate)
44% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $592.17M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Ross Stores runs discount shops like Ross Dress for Less, selling brand-name clothing and home goods for less than other retailers. The company makes money by purchasing unsold inventory from the supply chains (the entire process of making and selling goods, from factory to store) of other brands and selling it to budget-conscious families. This "off-price" model can be successful even when the economy is slow, as more people are looking for bargains.
Ross Stores started in 1950 as a small family-owned department store in California. The big turning point came in 1982 when a new group of investors bought the then-six stores and transformed them into an 'off-price' retailer. This new business model involved buying excess or out-of-season brand-name goods from manufacturers at a steep discount and selling them to customers for less than department stores. This strategy proved very successful, leading to rapid expansion, and the company became publicly traded in 1985. In 2004, Ross launched a second store concept, dd's DISCOUNTS, to appeal to shoppers with more moderate incomes.
Ross Stores is an off-price retailer, which means it sells brand-name clothing, shoes, accessories, and home goods at prices significantly lower than what you'd find in a typical department store. They do this by purchasing 'opportunistically'—buying up leftover inventory, canceled orders, or past-season items from manufacturers and other retailers. This creates a constantly changing selection of items and a 'treasure hunt' shopping experience, where you never know what you might find. The company operates entirely out of physical stores and does not have a significant e-commerce (online shopping) business.
This is the company's main and largest business, making up the vast majority of its stores and sales. These stores offer brand-name and designer apparel, footwear, and home fashions for the whole family at prices that are 20% to 60% below what department and specialty stores charge. The target customers are generally from middle-income households who are looking for well-known brands at a bargain. The ever-changing assortment of items encourages shoppers to visit often to see what new deals have arrived.
Launched in 2004, this is a smaller but growing part of the company. dd's DISCOUNTS stores are designed to serve customers from households with lower-to-moderate incomes. While it also sells clothing, shoes, and home items, the brands are typically more moderately priced than those at Ross Dress for Less, and the discounts can be even deeper, often 20% to 70% off regular prices. These stores are usually located in neighborhood shopping centers in urban and suburban areas.
The company's main strategy is to continue opening new physical stores across the United States for both its Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS brands. Management has publicly stated long-term goals of operating roughly 2,900 Ross stores and 700 dd's DISCOUNTS locations, indicating a long runway for growth. They are also focused on efficient supply chain management (the process of getting products from the supplier to the store shelves) to keep costs low. By sticking to their off-price model and avoiding online sales, they are betting that customers will continue to be drawn to the in-store 'treasure hunt' for bargains.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $256.00 (46.0% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $175.30 a share — about 30.7% below today's price of $252.85, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $592.2M. Interest coverage 71.4x.
Ross Stores, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 71.4 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $4.72B Interest coverage 71.36x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $14.18B Interest coverage 97.00x +36% vs ROST Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than ROST.
Total debt $5.87B Interest coverage 11.89x -83% vs ROST Carries about 6.0x less debt cushion than ROST.
Total debt $15.80B Interest coverage 9.56x -87% vs ROST Carries about 7.5x less debt cushion than ROST.
Total debt $7.59B Interest coverage 19.33x -73% vs ROST Carries about 3.7x less debt cushion than ROST.
Total debt $2.00B Interest coverage 34.71x -51% vs ROST Carries about 2.1x less debt cushion than ROST.
What you should know
The numbers
Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.
Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know