One-glance verdict
$17.43 our estimate vs market $8.02
Wall Street consensus: $9.20 (-47.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
54% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
GDYN · NCM · Technology · Information Technology Services
Current price
$8.02
52-week range
$5.11 - $10.21
Market cap
$650.64M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $9.20 (-47.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
54% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $281.72M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Grid Dynamics is a technology consulting company that helps other large businesses use artificial intelligence (AI, which is technology that can learn and make decisions like a human) to modernize their operations. They make money by charging for these expert services, helping clients in industries from retail to finance build smarter websites or more efficient internal systems. This is important because as nearly every company looks to adopt AI to stay competitive, the demand for Grid Dynamics' specialized skills could increase.
Founded in 2006, Grid Dynamics started as a specialized technology consulting firm. It grew by helping large companies tackle complex digital projects and went public on the Nasdaq stock exchange in 2020. A key part of its growth has been through acquisitions (buying other companies) to add new skills and expand into new regions, such as Europe and the Americas. This strategy has helped it become a global company with engineering talent located around the world.
Grid Dynamics doesn't sell a physical product you can buy in a store; it sells its expertise to other large companies. Think of them as a team of expert builders for the digital world. Big companies in retail, finance, and technology hire Grid Dynamics to design, build, and modernize the complex software that runs their businesses. This could mean creating a smoother online shopping experience, making a company's internal systems more efficient, or helping them use their data to make smarter decisions.
This is the company's fastest-growing and most important business. Grid Dynamics helps its clients use artificial intelligence (AI), which is technology that can learn and make decisions like a human. They help companies figure out where AI can help, organize their data to make it useful for AI, and then build custom AI tools to automate tasks or discover new business insights. This segment makes money by charging for the time and expertise of its AI specialists and engineers, and it represents a significant and growing portion of the company's total revenue (the total money it brings in from sales).
Many businesses have older software running on their own servers, which can be slow and expensive to maintain. Grid Dynamics helps these companies move their operations to the 'cloud' (a network of powerful, shared computers run by companies like Amazon or Google). This makes the business's technology more reliable, secure, and able to handle more customers. They get paid for planning and executing this complex migration and for building modern, cloud-based software platforms from scratch.
This part of the business focuses on building the technology that customers directly interact with. For a retail client, this could mean creating a new e-commerce website that is easy to use and offers personalized recommendations. For a bank, it might be a new mobile banking app. Grid Dynamics is paid to design and engineer these digital experiences to be more engaging and effective, helping their clients attract and keep customers.
Companies today collect vast amounts of data on everything from sales to customer behavior. This segment helps clients make sense of all that information. Grid Dynamics builds systems that gather, clean, and analyze data, turning it into easy-to-understand reports and insights. This helps management make better-informed decisions, like where to stock certain products or how to improve their marketing. The company earns revenue by providing the data science and engineering services needed to build and manage these systems.
The company's main focus is on becoming a leader in artificial intelligence (AI) services, seeing it as the biggest opportunity for growth. [3, 21] They are heavily investing in training their engineers and developing their own AI-building tools to help clients adopt the technology faster. [27, 29] At the same time, they are working to attract clients in more industries, like finance and manufacturing, to avoid being too dependent on any single area. [1, 17] Finally, they are expanding their physical presence across the globe, particularly in India and the Americas, to serve clients in different time zones and diversify their talent pool. [1, 17]
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $9.20 (-47.2% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $17.43 a share — about 117.3% above today's price of $8.02, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $281.7M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage -0.1x.
Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $16.71M Interest coverage -0.09x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $517.85M Interest coverage 6.18x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while GDYN does not.
Total debt $143.33M Interest coverage 4.59x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while GDYN does not.
Total debt $83.03M Interest coverage 15.53x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while GDYN does not.
Total debt $315.78M Interest coverage 2.95x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while GDYN does not.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know