One-glance verdict
$37.04 our estimate vs market $30.30
Wall Street consensus: $31.00 (-16.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
18% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
FIZZ · NMS · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Current price
$30.30
52-week range
$28.97 - $38.21
Market cap
$2.84B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $31.00 (-16.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
18% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $48.33M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
National Beverage is the company that makes the popular LaCroix sparkling water, along with other well-known drinks like Shasta and Faygo sodas. The company earns money whenever shoppers buy its drinks at grocery and convenience stores, so its financial health depends on its brands remaining popular choices.
National Beverage Corp. was created in 1985 by Nick Caporella, not to sell drinks at first, but as a clever move to prevent a hostile takeover of another company he was running. To build the new company, he quickly bought two well-known, long-standing beverage brands: Shasta and Faygo. Over the years, it grew by acquiring other regional drink makers, including the company that owned LaCroix sparkling water in the 1990s. While it started with a focus on traditional sodas, the company later shifted its strategy to focus on its own brands, especially as LaCroix's popularity exploded in the 2010s, turning it into the company's most important and fastest-growing product.
National Beverage makes and sells a wide variety of non-alcoholic drinks that you would find in supermarkets, convenience stores, and vending machines. Its products include flavored sparkling waters, traditional carbonated soft drinks (sodas), fruit juices, and energy drinks. The company owns several well-known brands, such as the very popular LaCroix sparkling water, the classic sodas Shasta and Faygo, and Rip It energy drinks. It primarily operates in the United States, selling to both big national retailers and smaller local stores.
This is the company's most important group of products, focused on drinks for health-conscious and active consumers. The star of this group is LaCroix, a brand of sparkling water with many different fruit flavors that has become extremely popular because it has no calories, sweeteners, or sodium. This segment also includes Rip It energy drinks, Clear Fruit flavored non-carbonated water, and juice brands like Everfresh and Mr. Pure. LaCroix is the company's strategic flagship and its biggest growth driver, making this segment the core of the business.
This part of the business includes the company's classic, iconic soda brands: Shasta and Faygo. These brands have been around for over a century and have loyal customers, particularly in certain regions of the country; Faygo, for example, is especially popular in the Midwest. They offer a huge variety of flavors, much more than typical cola brands, which is a key part of their strategy. While not the main focus for growth compared to the Power+ Brands, these sodas provide a steady and significant source of sales for the company.
The company's main focus is on growing its 'Power+ Brands,' especially LaCroix, to meet the rising consumer demand for healthier drink options. They are constantly creating new and unique flavors to keep customers excited and attract new ones, like the recently announced PineApple CocoNut LaCroix. Management is also navigating challenges like rising costs for ingredients and aluminum cans, which can squeeze their profit margins (the amount of profit they make from each sale). Their strategy involves a combination of price increases and a disciplined focus on running their operations efficiently to protect their profitability.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $31.00 (-16.3% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $37.04 a share — about 22.2% above today's price of $30.30, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $48.3M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 21.7x.
National Beverage Corp.'s profit covers its interest bill about 21.7 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here.
Total debt $58.77M Interest coverage 21.71x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt — Interest coverage 7.14x -67% vs FIZZ Carries about 3.0x less debt cushion than FIZZ.
Total debt $674.85M Interest coverage 9.57x -56% vs FIZZ Carries about 2.3x less debt cushion than FIZZ.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
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What you should know