One-glance verdict
$107.43 our estimate vs market $53.19
Wall Street consensus: $56.92 (-47.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
50% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
PYPL · NMS · Financial Services · Credit Services
Current price
$53.19
52-week range
$38.46 - $79.22
Market cap
$45.50B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $56.92 (-47.0% lower than our fair-value estimate)
50% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $2.96B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
PayPal is a digital payments company that helps people and businesses send and receive money through its apps, including its main PayPal service and Venmo. The company makes money by taking a small fee from these transactions, so its success depends on having more people and stores use its platform for their spending.
Founded in 1998 as Confinity, the company launched its online payment service, PayPal, a year later. It quickly became popular on eBay, an online auction site, for its ease of sending money digitally. After merging with Elon Musk's X.com and going public, eBay acquired PayPal in 2002 for $1.5 billion. In 2015, PayPal was spun off from eBay to become an independent company again, allowing it to expand its services beyond the auction site.
PayPal operates a technology platform that allows people and businesses to send and receive money for online purchases, personal transfers, and other commercial transactions. You can link your bank account, debit card, or credit card to your PayPal account to make payments. The company also owns other popular payment services you might recognize, such as the mobile payment app Venmo and the international money transfer service Xoom.
This is PayPal's main way of making money, accounting for the vast majority of its income. The company charges merchants a small percentage of each transaction, plus a fixed fee, when a customer pays for goods or services using PayPal. These fees vary depending on the transaction amount and whether it's a domestic or international payment. For consumers, sending money to friends and family from a linked bank account or PayPal balance is generally free.
This is a smaller but growing part of PayPal's business. It includes revenue from a variety of services beyond basic payment processing. This segment makes money from interest and fees on its credit products, like PayPal Credit, and from partnerships and referral fees. It also earns interest on the money that users hold in their PayPal and Venmo accounts.
Braintree is a payment gateway owned by PayPal that allows online and mobile businesses to accept various payment methods, including credit and debit cards, PayPal, and digital wallets like Apple Pay and Google Pay. It's designed for developers and larger e-commerce companies that want more control over their checkout experience. Braintree makes money by charging merchants a fee for each transaction processed through its platform.
Venmo is a popular mobile app, owned by PayPal, that lets you easily send money to and receive money from friends. While basic peer-to-peer transfers from a bank account or Venmo balance are free, Venmo makes money in several ways. It charges a fee for instant transfers to a bank account, for payments made with a credit card, and when users make purchases from businesses using their Venmo account. Venmo also earns money from interchange fees (a small percentage of a transaction paid by the merchant's bank to the card-issuing bank) when you use the Venmo debit or credit card.
Xoom is a PayPal service focused on international money transfers. It allows people in countries like the U.S. and Canada to send money to family and friends in over 160 countries. Recipients can receive the money in their bank account, as cash at a pickup location, or in a mobile wallet. Xoom makes money by charging transaction fees and from the currency exchange spread (the difference between the rate at which they buy and sell foreign currency).
PayPal's current strategy focuses on several key areas to drive growth. The company is working to improve its core branded checkout experience to make it even more seamless for customers. They are also focused on expanding the services offered through Venmo to make it a broader financial tool. Additionally, PayPal is investing in using artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance its services and is looking to expand its international presence, particularly in emerging markets.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $56.92 (-47.0% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $107.43 a share — about 102.0% above today's price of $53.19, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $3.0B. Interest coverage 14.5x.
PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 14.5 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $14.22B Interest coverage 14.50x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $23.86B Interest coverage 45.09x +211% vs PYPL Carries about 3.1x more debt cushion than PYPL.
Total debt $24.64B Interest coverage 27.03x +86% vs PYPL Carries about 1.9x more debt cushion than PYPL.
Total debt $23.56B Interest coverage 2.27x -84% vs PYPL Carries about 6.4x less debt cushion than PYPL.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know