One-glance verdict
$90.10 our estimate vs market $59.48
Wall Street consensus: $68.14 (-24.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
34% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
KR · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
Current price
$59.48
52-week range
$54.15 - $76.58
Market cap
$35.13B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $68.14 (-24.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
34% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $22.48B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Kroger is one of the largest grocery store operators in the United States, running familiar chains like Ralphs, Fred Meyer, and Harris Teeter. The company's main business is selling a massive volume of everyday necessities like food, medicine, and household goods, which people need to buy consistently. By also manufacturing many of its own store-brand products and selling fuel, Kroger can better control its costs and protect its profit margins (the slice of every sales dollar it gets to keep as profit).
Kroger's story starts in 1883 when Barney Kroger used his life savings to open a single grocery store in Cincinnati, Ohio, with a simple motto: never sell anything you wouldn't want yourself. He was an innovator from the beginning, becoming the first grocer to have his own bakery and to sell meat and groceries under the same roof. Over the decades, Kroger grew by merging with other regional grocery chains, like Dillon Companies in 1983 and a major merger with Fred Meyer, Inc. in 1999, which significantly expanded its reach across the country. This strategy of combining with other stores helped Kroger become one of the largest retailers in the world.
Kroger is a large retailer in the United States that most people know for its supermarkets and multi-department stores. You might shop at a store with a different name, like Ralphs, Dillons, or Harris Teeter, and not realize it's part of the Kroger family of companies. Beyond just selling groceries, many of its stores also have pharmacies, sell general merchandise like clothes and electronics, and even have their own fuel centers where you can buy gas. The company also makes many of its own food products, from bread and milk to ice cream, under its own store brands.
This is Kroger's main business and the part you are likely most familiar with, representing the vast majority of its sales. It includes all the items you'd find in a typical grocery run, from fresh produce, meat, and dairy to packaged goods like cereal and snacks. This segment also includes non-food items like health and beauty products, general merchandise, and fuel sold at its gas stations. Customers pay for these goods at the checkout, whether in-store or through online ordering for pickup or delivery.
A significant and growing part of Kroger's business is its in-store pharmacies, which can be found in over 2,200 of its locations. Here, customers can fill prescriptions, get vaccinations, and buy over-the-counter medications and health products. This business makes money by selling prescription drugs, for which it is paid by customers and their health insurance providers. While it's a smaller portion of total sales than the grocery segment, it's an important service that brings customers into the stores regularly.
A key part of Kroger's strategy is that it produces many of its own private-label products, which you see on the shelves with names like 'Kroger', 'Simple Truth', or 'Private Selection'. The company operates dozens of its own food manufacturing plants that make everything from baked goods and dairy products to beverages. This allows Kroger to have more control over the quality and cost of its products, often offering them to shoppers at a lower price than national brands. This part of the business contributes to the overall profitability (the ability to make a profit) of the items sold in its stores.
Kroger's leadership is focused on making the shopping experience seamless, whether customers are in-store or online, and using data to personalize offers for shoppers. They are heavily investing in their digital business, aiming to make online shopping and delivery faster and more profitable. The company is also concentrating on its fresh food offerings and its own 'Our Brands' products to attract and keep loyal customers. A major strategic move is the proposed merger with Albertsons, another large grocery chain, which management believes will allow them to lower prices for customers.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $68.14 (-24.4% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $90.10 a share — about 51.5% above today's price of $59.48, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $22.5B. Interest coverage 3.0x.
The Kroger Co.'s profit covers its interest bill about 3.0 times over.
Total debt $24.16B Interest coverage 2.96x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $15.70B Interest coverage 1.46x -51% vs KR Carries about 2.0x less debt cushion than KR.
Total debt $75.09B Interest coverage 10.66x +260% vs KR Carries about 3.6x more debt cushion than KR.
Total debt $8.58B Interest coverage 67.42x +2,180% vs KR Carries about 22.8x more debt cushion than KR.
Total debt $19.20B Interest coverage 11.50x +289% vs KR Carries about 3.9x more debt cushion than KR.
Total debt $21.68B Interest coverage 3.74x +27% vs KR Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than KR.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know