One-glance verdict
$92.92 our estimate vs market $84.75
Wall Street consensus: $107.57 (15.8% higher than our fair-value estimate)
9% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
DEO · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Current price
$84.75
52-week range
$72.45 - $102.74
Market cap
$47.13B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $107.57 (15.8% higher than our fair-value estimate)
9% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $20.42B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Diageo owns a large collection of famous alcoholic beverage brands, including Johnnie Walker whiskey, Smirnoff vodka, and Guinness beer. The company makes money by selling these drinks to people all around the world, from North America to Asia. This matters because owning many popular brands can create loyal customers and support higher profit margins (the portion of sales a company keeps after covering its costs), as people are often willing to pay more for names they know and trust.
Diageo was formed in 1997 through the merger of two British companies: Guinness, famous for its stout beer, and Grand Metropolitan, a large food and drinks company. This combination created a global leader in alcoholic beverages. Early on, the company sold off food businesses like Pillsbury and Burger King to focus squarely on its premium drinks portfolio. Over the years, it has grown by acquiring iconic brands like Captain Morgan rum and Crown Royal Canadian whisky.
Diageo is in the business of making and selling alcoholic beverages, with over 200 brands sold in about 180 countries. You would recognize many of their names from store shelves and bars, such as Johnnie Walker whisky, Smirnoff vodka, Tanqueray gin, Baileys liqueur, Captain Morgan rum, and Guinness beer. The company offers a wide range of products, from high-end luxury spirits to more affordable, everyday options. They operate more than 130 production sites worldwide, including distilleries and breweries, to create this diverse lineup.
This is Diageo's largest and most important business area, making up the majority of its sales. It includes a wide variety of distilled alcoholic drinks that people around the world enjoy. This segment features world-famous Scotch whiskies like Johnnie Walker, vodkas such as Smirnoff and Cîroc, rums like Captain Morgan, gins including Tanqueray and Gordon's, and popular tequilas like Don Julio and Casamigos. Customers for these products range from individuals buying a bottle at a store to bars and restaurants stocking their shelves.
While smaller than the spirits business, beer is a significant and historic part of Diageo, representing a notable portion of its sales. The star of this segment is Guinness, one of the most recognized beer brands globally, famous for its dark Irish stout. This part of the business primarily serves beer drinkers in pubs, restaurants, and at home. The company also produces other beer brands like Harp Lager and Smithwick's.
This is a smaller but growing part of Diageo's business that caters to consumer demand for convenience. This segment includes pre-mixed cocktails and other beverages that are sold in cans or bottles, ready for immediate consumption. Examples include Smirnoff Ice and canned gin & tonics. These products are popular with consumers looking for an easy way to enjoy a mixed drink without having to prepare it themselves.
Diageo's main focus is on 'premiumization,' which means encouraging customers to choose higher-quality, more expensive drinks. The company sees this as a major way to create value, believing people are willing to pay more for better products like a premium tequila or a single malt Scotch. They are also investing in the growing popularity of tequila and expanding their ready-to-drink options to meet changing consumer tastes. Additionally, the company has a long-term sustainability plan called 'Spirit of Progress,' which includes goals for promoting positive drinking, championing diversity, and reducing their environmental impact.
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $107.57 (15.8% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $92.92 a share — about 9.6% above today's price of $84.75, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $20.4B. Interest coverage 2.9x.
Diageo plc's profit covers its interest bill about 2.9 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $22.20B Interest coverage 2.94x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $10.53B Interest coverage 7.92x +169% vs DEO Carries about 2.7x more debt cushion than DEO.
Total debt $72.73B Interest coverage 4.05x +38% vs DEO Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than DEO.
Total debt $7.91B Interest coverage 6.58x +124% vs DEO Carries about 2.2x more debt cushion than DEO.
What you should know
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